Iran is Turkey’s second-largest natural gas supplier after Russia, providing about one-quarter of the country’s 40 billion cubic meters per year.
On Monday, approximately 10 billion cubic meters was cut off after the pipeline was sabotaged.
And even though nobody has admitted to the the sabotage, Turkish officials suspect the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). The PKK has been involved with attacks on this particular pipeline before, and could have been provoked by a bombing of their northern Iranian camps early last week.
And while there has been a ceasefire between Turkey and the PKK since 2013, it seems the two sides have taken up arms again. Turkey’s recent bombing of the groups camps is being called a “war on terrorist groups.” The PKK has announced that the military action renders the ceasefire meaningless, though they have not officially voided it.
Luckily for Turkey, domestic demand has been steady, and the lost supply from the Turkey-Iran pipeline has not yet been replaced by other countries.
That’s not the case for Iranian natural gas, however, which will lose traction for a while due to the out-of-commission pipe. Repairs have already begun, but there is no telling how long they will take.
Since the recent Nuclear Deal has opened the doors for Iran to rejoin the oil market, infrastructure, expansion, and improvement is already a necessity. More problems with existing pipelines will only set the country’s oil and gas markets back, possibly leaving them without customers for their huge supplies.
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Until next time,
Keith Kohl
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