Natural Gas Prices Rebound

Keith Kohl

Written By Keith Kohl

Posted August 27, 2009

Although there’s not much support for natural gas prices over the next coming weeks, that doesn’t mean we can’t prepare for the comeback.

As my colleague, Chris Nelder, highlighted out last month, “Demand outside the industrial sector is actually quite resilient.” Obviously, any significant recovery in industrial demand will give us the price boost we’ve been looking for.

And let’s face it, there’s no sugar-coating the short term outlook.The current supply glut will keep prices in the basement, at least until a recovery in demand. We saw more of that same bearish news this morning when the EIA released their latest report on our weekly natural gas storage this morning. This time it was an increase of 53 Bcf, pushing our working gas in storage to 3,258 Bcf.

Like I said, there’s not much to get excited about. . .or is there?

By the time we finally reach the winter months this year (and on any a rebound in natural gas could be huge prepared investors.

Take a closer look at the United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE: UNG), for example. Not surprisingly, UNG has been sliding lower throughout 2009 and now trading at near-52 week lows. With the prospect of a natural gas comeback towards the end of 2009, it might be time to rethink a new position within the next months.

UNG Chart 8-27-09

 

Until next time,

-Keith Kohl

Energy and Capital

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